ILoveSoFla.com
South Florida Real Estate
Are Real Estate Sales Really Up in Miami?
If you read the papers, listens to the news, or talk to friends, neighbors and acquaintences about the real estate market, you could be very confused as to what is “real” about it.
- Foreclosures and short sales are still high.
- Unemployment is still high and actually rose more vs. high and dropping.
- Inventory is still high.
Yet, week after week, our EWM office in Coral Gables is selling more than we are listing. This week alone, we had over $28,000,000 (yes, that is million and it was closer to $29) in sales and leases, the majority in sales. We had 29 sales vs 8 sale listings. What is even more amazing about the sales in our office this week:
- 11 of them (38%) were over $500,000 vs 9 that were under$300,000, which is where most of the market has been this year;
- 7 of them were over $1,000,000 so the high end market is starting to move.
What is especially important in these numbers is that the higher end sales are not relying on the first time home buyers tax credit, since they don’t qualify, and they are buying anyway. This leads me to believe that the real estate market is starting to stabilize, especially in certain areas.
Is Miami Real Estate Undervalued?
According to an article in today’s South Florida Business Journal, a report by IHS Global Insight suggests that in grossly overvalued markets, prices dropped an average of 37% from 2005 until the fourth quarter of 2009. In Miami, prices have fallen 35.8% in that time frame. The report suggests that for the country as a whole, the real estate market is now slightly undervalued.
Home Buyers Tax Credit Ends April 30
If you are planning on using the Home Buyers Tax Credit to purchase your home, time is running out.
Sales of High Priced Multifamily and Hospitality Properties Increase
The Difference between Cost vs. Price
Sellers and buyers of real estate often fixate on what the price of a property is and in doing so, lose sight of the more important factor, cost. Price is what you get for the property if you are a seller and what you pay for it if you are a buyer. However, what affects both seller and buyer on a monthly basis is the cost. In addition to principal, interest, taxes and insurance costs, there are maintenance costs and maybe association fees.
If you are a seller, consider how much it is costing you to carry that property each month you don’t sell it. Based on the inventory of similar properties in your area vs the number of sales, you can calculate how much it is going to cost you to continue carrying that property for the average number of months it is taking to sell properties in your area. I suggest you cut your sales price and take the loss upfront vs slowly cash out each month.
If you are a buyer, realize that there has never been a better time to buy than right now. You have a large number of options, the interest rates are the lowest they have been in decades and there is the government tax credit that expires at the end of April 2010. If you are waiting for prices to go down lower, consider the cost of owning if the prices go down but the interest rates go up. If prices come down 10% more, but interest rates inch up only 1% your monthly payments are going to be roughly the same.
Miami Real Estate – Lots Of Movement In All Directions
The 2010 real estate market has started out all over the place, both nationally and locally. On a national level, the lousy weather has had a negative effect on the new home segment, with construction on new homes and apartments falling 4% overall in December (construction rose in the South by over 3%). Applications for new building permits, however, increased by 11%.
Locally, the market has been moving a lot, keeping buyers, sellers, renters, and Realtors, on their toes. There are constant price adjustments on properties already listed, both upward and downward; properties priced well are going under contract (last week the EWM office in Coral Gables that I work out of had $21,000,000 worth of transactions) and renters are snapping up deals as downward pressure on rents, especially in condos, has given tenants more negotiating room.
Home Foreclosures Expected to Continue in 2010
The good news is that sales on existing homes, both single family and condos, continue to increase and inventories are decreasing in Miami-Dade county.
The bad news is in the foreclosure numbers for 2009. The numbers include all properties that are in some stage of the foreclosure process.
- Palm Beach County – 30,870
- Broward County – 69,633
- Miami-Dade County – 72,391
- Monroe County – 1,275
Since the unemployment rate is so high in Florida, foreclosures are expected to continue to add to inventories on the market in 2010. Miami-Dade’s new on-line foreclosure program and the government’s Home Affordable Refinance Program should help keep the foreclosure rate lower than 2009’s.
Mortgage Rates – How An Increase In Rates Affects Your Purchasing Power
I came across a great article that explains the effect of interest rates on your purchasing power so well, that I have to blog about it. Now that inventories are decreasing and we are running into an April 30, 2010 deadline for tax credits, you have to read it if you have been on the fence about whether or not now is the right time to buy real estate.
The article, If You Don’t Buy a House Now, You’re Stupid or Broke may have an offensive title, but the graphs that it contains illustrate historic interest rates and increasing trends and the explanation on how an increase in rates affect what you will pay in principal in interest are easy to understand. In a nutshell:
- For 30+ years interest rates ranged from a low of 7% to a high of 18% (my husband and I were paying over 16% interest when we purchased our first home in the 1980’s)
- Current interest rates are the lowest they have been in 40 years
- For every quarter-point change in interest rates you will pay an additional $6,000 for every $100,000 borrowed over the life of a 30-year fixed rate mortgage.
Miami Foreclosures Now On-line
In an attempt to work through the more than 110,000 open foreclosures and the 7,000 new ones that are filed each month, Miami-Dade County has put them on-line. Registration is free and allows you access to the county’s foreclosures. If you want to bid, you will be required to put down a refundable 5% deposit.
Rental Vacancies Rise, Rents Drop
According to CNNMoney.com the national vacancy rate for rental apartments rose to 8% at the end of 2009 up from 6.7% a year ago. High vacancy rates translate into lower rents, so if you are getting ready to go into a lease or renew your existing one, negotiate the price. Keep in mind that many corporate landlords will not want to decrease the monthly rent because it hurts their books, but they will throw in a free month’s rent or some other benefits/improvements, that will bring your effective rent down.
Find Me On…
