In case you missed my posts on the projected economic improvement of South Florida and Miami-Dade in particular, read today’s front page Miami Herald article, Forecast calls for robust rebound in Dade.
Previous posts I have written include a lot more detail if you want to read more:
Commercial Real Estate Starting To Pick Up
Still Doubt An Economic Recovery Is Taking Place In Miami?
Miami Real Estate – If You Are Looking To Invest, Miami Is Top Choice
The recent up-tick in consumer spending has resulted in an increase in demand for retail space. Since the multi-family and office had been showing improvement, this is a good sign the economy is starting to pick up.
On a local level, Miami Today reported the following increases in November:
At a commercial meeting yesterday, the main spaces people were looking for were restaurant space and shopping/retail centers. The majority of the investors looking were from Venezuela, Argentina and Brazil.
Although our unemployment rate is high in Miami, the fact that tourism is up and investors are coming back to commercial, seems to indicate we have turned a corner.
There was so much good news about economic activity in the Miami Today, today that I had to share some of the ones that popped out at me. In addition to the one about all of the economic growth numbers from November (see tomorrow’s post), the following things jumped out at me as a good sign that Miami, despite the economic downturn, has continued pursuing projects that focus on long term growth
I point all this out because it is easy to focus on the negatives of unemployment, short sales, and foreclosures, all of which are very real and very painful. The fact that companies are investing here, tourists are visiting, inventories are getting absorbed, and developers are getting ready to start building again, all tell me that we are bouncing along the bottom, but the end is in sight. Since unemployment is a lagging indicator, it will be one of the last economic indicators to pick up. All of the items listed above will help the unemployment rate, which in turn will further help stabilize our battered housing market.
The Small Business Jobs Act that passed Congress last year requires all property owners that rent out properties to file a 1099 for each vendor who does $600 or more in work. Even if you only rent out a single property, you must collect the following for each vendor:
The details to the exceptions to this requirement have yet to be ironed out but the exceptions include:
If you are renting out a property, make sure you, your bookkeeper, and/or CPA have a way of tracking each vendor starting January 1, 2011.
The Small Business Jobs Act that passed Congress last year requires all property owners that rent out properties to file a 1099 for each vendor who does $600 or more in work. Even if you only rent out a single property, you must collect the following for each vendor:
The details to the exceptions to this requirement have yet to be ironed out but the exceptions include:
If you are renting out a property, make sure you, your bookkeeper, and/or CPA have a way of tracking each vendor starting January 1, 2011.
According to Mark Vitner, an economist for Wells Fargo, Miami is his top choice of a market poised for economic growth. How can that be? We have one of the highest unemployment, foreclosure and number of underwater homes in the country. However, Vitner stated that Miami is currently posting some of the highest taxable sales and number of jobs created in the state.
Miami has always been blessed with gorgeous weather, colorful landscapes, tourquoise waters, and beautiful beaches. One of the main reasons our economy has been chugging along better than most is due to our popularity with tourists, especially international ones, who have helped both our tourism and retail industries.
Shadow inventory is basically the number of properties that are projected to hit the market due to distressed owners, those who are behind 90 days or more on their mortgage, or because they will be or already have been taken back by the bank. There has been a lot of speculation lately about how this background inventory will affect the housing recovery, with many experts saying it will significantly delay it.
A CNNMoney.com article on Shadow Inventory states: “Of the 20 separate markets S&P analyzed, Miami was the only market of the 20 that S&P analyzed where shadow inventory did not did expand during the first three quarters of 2010.”
What does this mean for buyers? Record high affordability and a wide selection of properties to choose from.
For sellers, it means a continued suppression of prices, with prices either dropping further or bouncing along the bottom for a while. If you were thinking of selling your home within the next year or two, you may want to put it on the market now. Or, if you have equity in your home and have entertained the idea of owning investment property, turn it into a rental and buy your move-up, downsizing, or retirement home at the lowest prices we have seen in a long time.
The Panama Canal is undergoing a massive expansion to allow bigger vessels to pass through. Since the Port of Miami is the closest U.S. Port to the Panama Canal, Miami is in a strategic position to benefit from the increase in America/East Asia trade.
The Port of Miami is building a tunnel to the Port, so truck traffic can bypass downtown Miami, and is seeking federal funds to dredge the harbor to minus 50-feet, which would make it one of only three ports that can handle the new, larger container vessels.
This increase in trade at the port will mean there will be new demand for warehouse space and housing for the estimated 33,000 new trade-related jobs that are expected.
The Panama Canal is undergoing a massive expansion to allow bigger vessels to pass through. Since the Port of Miami is the closest U.S. Port to the Panama Canal, Miami is in a strategic position to benefit from the increase in America/East Asia trade.
The Port of Miami is building a tunnel to the Port, so truck traffic can bypass downtown Miami, and is seeking federal funds to dredge the harbor to minus 50-feet, which would make it one of only three ports that can handle the new, larger container vessels.
This increase in trade at the port will mean there will be new demand for warehouse space and housing for the estimated 33,000 new trade-related jobs that are expected.
How can it be both the right time to sell and the right time to buy? Usually, if it is a seller’s market, prices are high and inventory is low. If it is a buyer’s market, it is the other way around. We currently have enough overall inventory of single family and condos in South Florida to make it a buyers market so, if you are a seller, you may think of holding off until the inventory decreases. If you have the holding power, you are right. If you need to sell, but were thinking of holding off for the Spring, read Steve Harney’s blog, Oswald Acted Alone and We Did Land on the Moon.
If you are a buyer and read the blog, you will be tempted to hold off, figuring prices will fall further and you could get a better deal. The difference is that with a home buyer, unless you are purchasing with cash, the cost of the home is often more important than the price. Another great Harney blog, 3 Questions You Must Answer Before Buying a Home, can help you determine if you would be better off waiting until the end of 2011 or purchasing now.
Remember, real estate is hyper-local and your specifications for a home or investment property, may be completely different from what is going on in a city, county, state or nationally. Some areas experienced less price decreases, short sales, and foreclosures than others.